Ins, Outs, and the Duration of Trade

Title: Ins, Outs, and the Duration of Trade
Format: Journal Article
Publication Date: January 2006
Published In: Canadian Journal of Economics
Description:

We employ survival analysis to study the duration of U.S. imports. Our findings indicate international trade is far more dynamic than previously thought. The median duration of exporting a product to the U.S. is very short, on the order of two to four years. There is negative duration dependence. If a country is able to survive in the exporting market for the first few years it will face a very small probability of failure and will likely export the product for a long period of time. The results hold across countries and industries and are robust to aggregation.

Ivan Allen College Contributors:
External Contributors: Thomas J. Prusa
Citation:

Besedes, Tibor and Prusa, Thomas J., “Ins, Outs, and the Duration of Trade,” Canadian Journal of Economics (2006), 39(1): 266-295

Categories:
  • International Trade
Related Departments:
  • School of Economics